Inflation Relief for RBNZ Ahead of OCR Decision

The latest quarterly Survey of Expectations reveals inflation is projected to be 2.06% in two years, a slight decline from the previous 2.12% forecast. This aligns with the RBNZ’s inflation target of between 1% and 3%, with a preferred midpoint of 2%. Inflation expectations play a critical role in shaping…

Labour Market Weakens as Businesses Struggle

The data from Stats NZ reveals employment has experienced its largest annual decline since 2009, and economists predict further falls before recovery. This rise in unemployment is in line with expectations. Meanwhile, businesses continue to grapple with financial pressures and a sluggish economy. Analysts suggest that job losses will persist…

New Zealand’s Property Market Set for Recovery

Following a period of moderate decline, figures released by CoreLogic indicate a stabilisation in property prices. The market has shown minimal movement with only a 0.4 per cent decline since March and August 2024. The market experienced a drop of 4/1 per cent between these dates. CoreLogic economist Kelvin Davidson…

Inflation Eases, But Pressure Remains on Citizens

Recent data shows the consumer price index (CPI) rose by 2.2 per cent in the last quarter of 2024, landing within the Reserve Bank’s target range of 1 to 3 per cent. While economists are celebrating this milestone, the reality for many families is not something to cheer about. The…

Slow Chinese Market Subdues NZ Businesses

China’s ongoing property market crisis is expected to linger, with experts predicting stability may not return until 2026. For Kiwi businesses, this means a tough environment where weakened consumer confidence and falling demand create persistent hurdles. The roots of China’s property slump back to 2021 with the collapse of Evergrande.…

Sub 5 per cent Loan Rates Coming for NZ Borrowers

Mortgage borrowers in New Zealand may soon benefit from a dip in the mortgage rate, with experts and economists estimating a much more favourable borrowing atmosphere ushered in due to good economic conditions. Another 50 basis points deduction to the OCR is expected in February by the Reserve Bank, with…

Mixed NZ Property Market Recovery Expected for 2025

December has recorded a ninth drop in ten months, making a familiar pattern of declining prices. Such news is a key indicator that a slow recovery may be on the horizon. New Zealand Median Price House values during the year to December have declined by $32,200, or a 3.9% year-on-year…

New Zealand Falls into a Recession

The September quarter saw a 1% contraction in the New Zealand economy, according to Statistics NZ. This number represents a 1.5% decrease from the same period last year. This decline follows a 1.1% decline in the June quarter, which has formally placed New Zealand in a technical recession, These contractions…

Mixed Results from Reserve Bank’s Recent OCR Cut

Since August, the OCR has been reduced from 5.5 per cent to 4.25 per cent, but the extent of its impact on the economy remains uncertain. While some benefits have materialised, broader economic activity is yet to show significant recovery. Mortgage rates and 12-month term deposit rates have fallen faster…

New Zealand Government Addresses Growing Crisis of Online Scams

Commerce and Consumer Affairs Minister Andrew Bayly spoke of the agenda in a cabinet paper released recently, though no further funds were assigned for execution. The current approach will rectify the incoherence into which all of these strategies have fallen, causing them to fail to tackle sophisticated modern-day online scam…